CORE DISCUSSION PAPER 9847 Volatility Impulse Response Functions for Multivariate GARCH Models

In the empirical analysis of nancial time series, multivariate GARCH models have been used in various forms. In most cases it is not well understood how the use of a restricted model has to be paid with loss of valuable information. We investigate the structural implications of the alternative models for the response of the conditional (co{)variances to independent shocks. The impulse response analysis, adopted to volatility models, appears to be a convenient methodology to obtain information on the interaction of nancial series. We de ne volatility impulse response functions and provide an empirical analysis for a bivariate exchange rate series. For the analyzed series, the impulse response function of the correlation reveals strong discrepancies between the estimated diagonal and BEKK models. This indicates that the diagonality restriction may hide important structural properties of the series.